Data snapshot Snapshot Nov 8, 2026
Bitcoin Price Ladders: The Crypto Markets With Real Volume
Crypto is the loudest category in prediction markets and the second largest in this dataset, with 163 markets. Bitcoin dominates it. The standard product is a price ladder: will Bitcoin reach, exceed, or finish above a stated level by a stated date. Stack enough of those contracts together and the market has priced a path, complete with the odds of the exciting tails that make headlines.
Volume sorts the serious ladders from the decorative ones. The table below takes the Bitcoin markets with the largest snapshot volume across platforms. Polymarket carries much of the crypto book in this dataset, with its global user base trading price levels around the clock, while regulated venues list a smaller set of event contracts tied to futures and reference rates.
| Market | Platform | Yes price (snapshot) | Volume (snapshot) |
|---|---|---|---|
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 45,000 | Polymarket | 3.1% | $9,305,797.63 Vol. |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 55,000 | Polymarket | 9.5% | $7,476,496.39 Vol. |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 250,000 | Polymarket | 0.15% | $5,673,246.25 Vol. |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Polymarket | 2.25% | $5,601,997.24 Vol. |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 50,000 | Polymarket | 7.5% | $5,450,412.88 Vol. |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 15,000 | Polymarket | 0.55% | $5,097,308.66 Vol. |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 100,000 | Polymarket | 6.5% | $4,148,869.57 Vol. |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 35,000 | Polymarket | 1.75% | $3,745,666.79 Vol. |
| BTC price range EOY: 75,000 to 79,999.99 | Kalshi | 20.3% | 3502612.54 contracts |
| BTC price range EOY: 80,000 to 84,999.99 | Kalshi | 14.5% | 3429993.38 contracts |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 1,000,000 | Polymarket | 0.2% | $3,334,002.13 Vol. |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 40,000 | Polymarket | 2.75% | $2,918,630.89 Vol. |
Two cautions belong with any crypto ladder. First, the wording trap: reaching a level intraday, closing above it, and finishing the year above it are three different contracts that casual readers merge into one. The question text on each market page here is the contract, so read it before the price. Second, crypto prices move fast enough that a dated snapshot ages quickly; the Nov 8 figures are a photograph, and the live links are the film.
Bitcoin ladders also expose the market's calendar. Volume concentrates around month ends, quarter ends and the year end, because those are the dates leveraged positions and fund reports care about. In between, the long dated reach levels accumulate steady volume from traders pricing the exciting tail. The result is a term structure of belief: near dates priced tightly around the current range, far dates spread wide with fat tails in both directions. Snapshots taken weeks apart show the structure breathing, tightening after quiet weeks and widening violently after a big move, which is why a dated series of them is worth more than any single day's ladder.
Settlement sources deserve their sentence here too. Bitcoin contracts settle against named reference rates or specific exchange prices, and in a market that trades everywhere at once, the choice of source decides borderline cases. The market pages on this site carry the resolution source for every crypto contract, and the discipline of reading it applies double at the tails, where a wick on one venue can decide a contract that another venue's chart would have settled the other way. Price first is the tourist's order; source first is the trader's.
Ethereum and wider crypto markets fill out the category, including daily direction contracts and monthly high and low ladders. The crypto category page lists all 163 markets with their snapshot prices and volumes, and the resolution source on each one names the exchange or index that settles it.
Snapshot data: prices and volume were collected from the platform on Nov 8, 2026. They are dated snapshots, not live quotes. Use the live market link for current prices.