Data snapshot Snapshot Nov 8, 2026
Earnings Season in Prediction Markets
Earnings season has its own prediction market genre. The dataset holds 63 earnings markets, split between two styles. Beat or miss contracts price whether a company clears the consensus estimate. Mention markets price something stranger and very Kalshi: whether a named word or phrase gets said on the earnings call. Both styles convert a scheduled corporate event into a dated, settleable question.
The calendar shape is the point. Earnings arrive on announced dates, so these markets cluster tightly in the season and expire within days. The table lists earnings markets from the snapshot in close date order, which is how a trader actually scans them: what reports next, and what is the market pricing into the print. Snapshot volume is modest beside the index book, which fits a genre that lives for a week at a time.
Mention markets deserve a sentence of respect and a sentence of caution. They are genuinely traded, genuinely settled on the call transcript, and genuinely capable of being moved by one executive's phrasing. The beat or miss contracts are the more conventional instrument, and the split between the two styles in the snapshot is shown in the category data on this site.
The genre also has a data exhaust worth noticing. Beat or miss prices before a report, collected across a whole season, amount to a priced expectations survey that no analyst poll matches for honesty, because the respondents paid for their opinions. After the season, those prices can be graded against the prints. This site does not grade them yet; the snapshot is the raw material, and the calendar view is the filing system. But the direction is clear, and it is the same direction the rest of the dataset points: dated, public, checkable expectations beat remembered ones.
Timing risk is the genre's hidden fee. A beat or miss contract held into the print is a binary position on a number that can gap a stock ten percent overnight; the prediction market position itself settles at zero or a dollar with no partial credit. Readers scanning the calendar table should notice how many contracts cluster on the same evenings, because a season's risk concentrates exactly the way its calendar does. The calendar view is a risk map as much as a schedule, which is why the app concept promotes it during the season.
The stocks hub on StocksPro24 carries an earnings calendar view of the full set, ordered by close date, next to the index and single stock books. Prices are the Nov 8, 2026 snapshot, and by the time you read a given row the report may already have landed, which is exactly why each page links to the live market.
Snapshot data: prices and volume were collected from the platform on Nov 8, 2026. They are dated snapshots, not live quotes. Use the live market link for current prices.