OddsBoard app Snapshot Nov 8, 2026
Building a CPI Watchlist in OddsBoard Before the Print
Inflation day is the highest tempo day in the rates calendar, and it is where a prepared watchlist earns its keep. The inflation category in the dataset holds 155 markets, with CPI strike ladders the core product. OddsBoard's CPI watchlist groups those ladders by release, so the whole implied distribution for the next print sits on one screen instead of scattered across platforms.
The reason to group by release is the ladder shape. Each strike on the ladder is a contract, and together they draw the market's probability distribution for the print. One strike near the consensus sits near the middle of the price range, the tails trade for cents, and the shape shifts as forecasts update. A watchlist that shows strikes out of order, or mixed across releases, hides the single most useful picture in this market.
| Market | Platform | Yes price (snapshot) | Volume (snapshot) |
|---|---|---|---|
| CPI: Above 0.1% | Kalshi | 95% | 368237.05 contracts |
| CPI: Above 0.2% | Kalshi | 62% | 299141.54 contracts |
| CPI core: Above 0.1% | Kalshi | 87% | 268604.32 contracts |
| CPI: Above 0.3% | Kalshi | 15% | 232017.33 contracts |
| CPI core: Above 0.2% | Kalshi | 43% | 161050.81 contracts |
| CPI core: Above 0.3% | Kalshi | 7% | 122366.41 contracts |
| Inflation: Above 3.9% | Kalshi | 23% | 118198.81 contracts |
| Inflation: Above 3.8% | Kalshi | 37% | 110168.74 contracts |
| CPI: Above 0.4% | Kalshi | 2% | 105627.25 contracts |
| CPI core: Above 0.0% | Kalshi | 99% | 103018.77 contracts |
| Inflation: Above 4.1% | Kalshi | 6% | 95288.93 contracts |
| CPI core: Above 0.4% | Kalshi | 1% | 92265.77 contracts |
The app pairs the watchlist with the calendar. CPI releases land at 8:30 in the morning Eastern time on scheduled dates, the dataset's markets carry their close descriptions, and the watchlist sorts by what settles next. After the print, the same list becomes the record: which strikes paid, and how far the implied distribution sat from the published number.
The watchlist also keeps the previous snapshot's ladder one tap behind the current one. Inflation expectations are a story told in revisions: the consensus strike that sat at 60% last week and sits at 35% now has moved for a reason, usually a forecast update or a whisper number changing hands. Seeing the two ladders together turns the CPI watchlist from a price board into a record of the forecast itself being negotiated. That record is the reason the underlying website dates every figure it shows, and the app inherits the rule rather than relaxing it.
Release grouping also fixes a subtle display bug common in market apps: sorting strikes numerically without regard to direction. One platform's ladder asks above a figure, another's asks below a strike, and a naive sort scrambles the distribution. By grouping on the release and normalizing each ladder against its own question wording, the watchlist draws the distribution the market actually priced. The underlying website takes the same care on its tracker tables, where the question text always travels with the price.
None of this needs invented features. It is the dataset on this site, organized by release instead of by platform, with snapshot prices dated and live links attached. The web tracker shows the raw material; the app concept is the filing system on top of it.
Snapshot data: prices and volume were collected from the platform on Nov 8, 2026. They are dated snapshots, not live quotes. Use the live market link for current prices.