Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% below its August 3, 2026 close by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26)
Manifold play-money market: Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% below its August 3, 2026 close by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26).
Platform
Manifold
Category
Equities · index_or_stock
Yes price (snapshot)
16.9c (16.9% implied)
Volume (snapshot)
M$118.72
Closes
2026-12-31T23:59:00Z
Opened
2026-08-03T14:41:23Z
Outcomes
Yes; No
Resolution source
Market creator's stated resolution criteria (Manifold)
Manifold lists this play-money forecasting market, created by a platform user. It closes on 2026-12-31 and resolves under the market creator's stated criteria on Manifold; the probability and mana volume shown here are the snapshot recorded on 2026-11-08.
View the live market on Manifold
Snapshot data: prices and volume were collected from the platform on Nov 8, 2026. They are dated snapshots, not live quotes. Use the live market link for current prices.