Will the US enter a recession (2 consecutive quarters of GDP decline) by end of 2026?
Manifold play-money market: Will the US enter a recession (2 consecutive quarters of GDP decline) by end of 2026?.
Platform
Manifold
Category
Economy · recession
Yes price (snapshot)
4.82c (4.82% implied)
Volume (snapshot)
M$685.65
Closes
2026-12-31T23:59:00Z
Opened
2026-03-03T10:13:34Z
Outcomes
Yes; No
Resolution source
Market creator's stated resolution criteria (Manifold)
Manifold lists this play-money forecasting market, created by a platform user. It closes on 2026-12-31 and resolves under the market creator's stated criteria on Manifold; the probability and mana volume shown here are the snapshot recorded on 2026-11-08.
View the live market on Manifold
Snapshot data: prices and volume were collected from the platform on Nov 8, 2026. They are dated snapshots, not live quotes. Use the live market link for current prices.