Will US unemployment exceed 4.5% at any point in 2026?
Manifold play-money market: Will US unemployment exceed 4.5% at any point in 2026?.
Platform
Manifold
Category
Economy · jobs
Yes price (snapshot)
13.32c (13.32% implied)
Volume (snapshot)
M$1,064.38
Closes
2027-01-01T00:00:00Z
Opened
2026-02-10T18:37:57Z
Outcomes
Yes; No
Resolution source
Market creator's stated resolution criteria (Manifold)
Manifold lists this play-money forecasting market, created by a platform user. It closes on 2027-01-01 and resolves under the market creator's stated criteria on Manifold; the probability and mana volume shown here are the snapshot recorded on 2026-11-08.
View the live market on Manifold
Snapshot data: prices and volume were collected from the platform on Nov 8, 2026. They are dated snapshots, not live quotes. Use the live market link for current prices.