1,100 financial prediction markets tracked across 15 platforms ยท Snapshot Nov 8, 2026 Open the Fed and CPI tracker

Manifold

Manifold is a play money prediction market where anyone can create and trade markets with mana that cannot be converted to cash.

Manifold hosts user created play money markets, and its FAQ links dedicated Economics, stocks and crypto topic pages. Live finance markets on its site include questions on the S&P 500, CPI inflation, Fed decisions and US recession risk.

Fees

No fee schedule was published in the data collected on Nov 8, 2026. Check the platform site for current fees.

Regulation
Play money, no regulator; mana cannot be converted to cash per the Manifold FAQ
Access notes
Open to users in the United States and worldwide as a play money platform; no purchase is required to join per its FAQ, and identity verification is optional except for prize drawings

Markets tracked in the Nov 8, 2026 snapshot: 89

Equities: 26Crypto: 23Economy: 16Corporate and IPO: 10Commodities: 6FX and Yields: 3Inflation: 3Earnings: 1Interest Rates: 1

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Biggest Manifold markets in the snapshot

MarketPlatformYes price (snapshot)Volume (snapshot)Closes
S&P 500 up 100% in 2026?Manifold1%M$306,974.892026-12-31T23:59:00Z
US recession in 2026?Manifold4.18%M$134,057.772026-12-31T23:59:00Z
[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?Manifold4.63%M$75,945.952026-12-31T23:59:00Z
[ACX 2026] Will the S&P 500 close above 7,500 at the end of 2026?Manifold51.95%M$72,333.552026-12-31T23:59:00Z
Will the S&P 500 Pass 100,000 by EOY 2026?Manifold1%M$70,143.082026-12-31T23:59:00Z
Will the S&P 500 dip below 6000 in 2026?Manifold1.03%M$46,270.562026-12-31T23:59:00Z
Will the S&P 500 pass 1,000,000 by EOY 2026?Manifold1%M$38,468.462026-12-31T23:59:00Z
S&P 500 hits 8000 in 2026?Manifold22%M$35,176.462026-12-31T23:59:00Z
Will $TSLA close above $1000 per share by December 31 2026?Manifold2.39%M$32,895.342026-12-31T21:00:00Z
Will the S&P 500 close above 7883.34 on December 31, 2026?Manifold27.51%M$26,654.852026-12-31T23:59:00Z

Snapshot data: prices and volume were collected from the platform on Nov 8, 2026. They are dated snapshots, not live quotes. Use the live market link for current prices.